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재테크/투자

주식 관련 지표

by Jerry 2022. 9. 2.
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뉴스 헤드라인 보다는, 숫자로 확인하는 습관을 갖자.

 

1. 나스닥 PER


https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/NDAQ/nasdaq/pe-ratio

 

Nasdaq PE Ratio 2010-2022 | NDAQ

<p>Current and historical p/e ratio for Nasdaq (NDAQ) from 2010 to 2022. The price to earnings ratio is calculated by taking the latest closing price and dividing it by the most recent earnings per share (EPS) number. The PE ratio is a simple way to assess

www.macrotrends.net

 

나스닥 PER - 30 이상이면 위험.

 

 

 

2. 하이일드 스프레드


https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/BAMLH0A0HYM2

 

ICE BofA US High Yield Index Option-Adjusted Spread

Source: Ice Data Indices, LLC   Release: ICE BofA Indices   Units:  Percent, Not Seasonally Adjusted Frequency:  Daily, Close Notes: The ICE BofA Option-Adjusted Spreads (OASs) are the calculated spreads between a computed OAS index of all bonds in a

fred.stlouisfed.org

하이일드 스프레드5 이상이면 위험.

 

 

 

3. S&P 500 Forward 12-month EPS


https://advantage.factset.com/hubfs/Website/Resources%20Section/Research%20Desk/Earnings%20Insight/EarningsInsight_080522A.pdf

s&p 포워드eps -> 하락 추세전환 시 위험

 

 

 

4. 연준회의 스케줄


https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

 

The Fed - Meeting calendars and information

Please enable JavaScript if it is disabled in your browser or access the information through the links provided below. Meeting calendars, statements, and minutes (2017-2022) The FOMC holds eight regularly scheduled meetings during the year and other meetin

www.federalreserve.gov

정례 회의가 아닌 긴급회의 모집 여부 확인.

 

 

 

 

5. 장단기 금리차 (10년-2년, 10년-3개월)


https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y

 

10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis   Release: Interest Rate Spreads Units:  Percent, Not Seasonally Adjusted Frequency:  Daily Notes: Starting with the update on June 21, 2019, the Treasury bond data used in calculating interest rate spreads is

fred.stlouisfed.org

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y3M

 

10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury Constant Maturity

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis   Release: Interest Rate Spreads Units:  Percent, Not Seasonally Adjusted Frequency:  Daily Notes: Series is calculated as the spread between 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity (BC_10YEAR) and 3-Month Treasury

fred.stlouisfed.org

10yr - 2yr
10yr - 3mth

0 이하로 내려가면 주의

 

 

 

 

6. 고용지표


https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE

 

Unemployment Rate

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics   Release: Employment Situation   Units:  Percent, Seasonally Adjusted Frequency:  Monthly Notes: The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labor force. Labor force data ar

fred.stlouisfed.org

급격한 상승 주의

 

 

 

 

7. 미국 예대율 추이


https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DPSACBW027SBOG

 

Deposits, All Commercial Banks

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US)   Release: H.8 Assets and Liabilities of Commercial Banks in the United States   Units:  Billions of U.S. Dollars, Seasonally Adjusted Frequency:  Weekly, Ending Wednesday Notes: For furthe

fred.stlouisfed.org

약간의 데이터 처리가 필요하다.
예대율 추이

대출/예금 -> 급격한 하락 추세 전환 위험

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